Escape probability, mean residence time and geophysical fluid particle dynamics

DOI10.1016/S0167-2789(99)00096-2zbMATH Open1194.76241arXivmath/9901099OpenAlexW2026052854MaRDI QIDQ992138FDOQ992138

V. J. Ervin, James R. Brannan, Jinqiao Duan

Publication date: 11 September 2010

Published in: Physica D (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: Stochastic dynamical systems arise as models for fluid particle motion in geophysical flows with random velocity fields. Escape probability (from a fluid domain) and mean residence time (in a fluid domain) quantify fluid transport between flow regimes of different characteristic motion. We consider a quasigeostrophic meandering jet model with random perturbations. This jet is parameterized by the parameter $$, where $Omega$ is the rotation rate of the earth, $r$ the earth's radius and $heta$ the latitude. Note that $Omega$ and $r$ are fixed, so $$ is a monotonic decreasing function of the latitude. The unperturbed jet (for $$) consists of a basic flow with attached eddies. With random perturbations, there is fluid exchange between regimes of different characteristic motion. We quantify the exchange by escape probability and mean residence time.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/math/9901099

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Stochastic analysis applied to problems in fluid mechanics (76M35) Hydrology, hydrography, oceanography (86A05) Incompressible inviscid fluids (76B99)

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Cited In (9)

• Escape probability and mean residence time in random flows with unsteady drift
• Parameter estimation via homogenization for stochastic dynamical systems with oscillating coefficients
• Discovering mean residence time and escape probability from data of stochastic dynamical systems
• The effect of changing the Coriolis force gradient parameter on the escape probability and mean residence time
• Dynamical behavior of the activator-repressor circuit model under random fluctuations
• Escape Probability for Stochastic Dynamical Systems with Jumps
• MEAN EXIT TIME AND ESCAPE PROBABILITY FOR A TUMOR GROWTH SYSTEM UNDER NON-GAUSSIAN NOISE
• Quantifying model uncertainty in dynamical systems driven by non-Gaussian Lévy stable noise with observations on mean exit time or escape probability
• A computational analysis for mean exit time under non-Gaussian Lévy noises

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