Tree-structured regression and the differentiation of integrals

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Publication:997366

DOI10.1214/009053606000001000zbMATH Open1122.62027arXiv0708.0385OpenAlexW3099307660MaRDI QIDQ997366FDOQ997366


Authors: Richard A. Olshen Edit this on Wikidata


Publication date: 23 July 2007

Published in: The Annals of Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: This paper provides answers to questions regarding the almost sure limiting behavior of rooted, binary tree-structured rules for regression. Examples show that questions raised by Gordon and Olshen in 1984 have negative answers. For these examples of regression functions and sequences of their associated binary tree-structured approximations, for all regression functions except those in a set of the first category, almost sure consistency fails dramatically on events of full probability. One consequence is that almost sure consistency of binary tree-structured rules such as CART requires conditions beyond requiring that (1) the regression function be in mathcalL1, (2) partitions of a Euclidean feature space be into polytopes with sides parallel to coordinate axes, (3) the mesh of the partitions becomes arbitrarily fine almost surely and (4) the empirical learning sample content of each polytope be ``large enough. The material in this paper includes the solution to a problem raised by Dudley in discussions. The main results have a corollary regarding the lack of almost sure consistency of certain Bayes-risk consistent rules for classification.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/0708.0385




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