Random walks colliding before getting trapped

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Abstract: Let P be the transition matrix of a finite, irreducible and reversible Markov chain. We say the continuous time Markov chain X has transition matrix P and speed lambda if it jumps at rate lambda according to the matrix P. Fix lambdaX,lambdaY,lambdaZgeq0, then let X,Y and Z be independent Markov chains with transition matrix P and speeds lambdaX,lambdaY and lambdaZ respectively, all started from the stationary distribution. What is the chance that X and Y meet before either of them collides with Z? For each choice of lambdaX,lambdaY and lambdaZ with max(lambdaX,lambdaY)>0, we prove a lower bound for this probability which is uniform over all transitive, irreducible and reversible chains. In the case that lambdaX=lambdaY=1 and lambdaZ=0 we prove a strengthening of our main theorem using a martingale argument. We provide an example showing the transitivity assumption cannot be removed for general lambdaX,lambdaY and lambdaZ.









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