Robust Estimation of Latent Tree Graphical Models: Inferring Hidden States With Inexact Parameters
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Applications of graph theory (05C90) Applications of Markov chains and discrete-time Markov processes on general state spaces (social mobility, learning theory, industrial processes, etc.) (60J20) Estimation in multivariate analysis (62H12) Image analysis in multivariate analysis (62H35) Signal theory (characterization, reconstruction, filtering, etc.) (94A12)
Abstract: Latent tree graphical models are widely used in computational biology, signal and image processing, and network tomography. Here we design a new efficient, estimation procedure for latent tree models, including Gaussian and discrete, reversible models, that significantly improves on previous sample requirement bounds. Our techniques are based on a new hidden state estimator which is robust to inaccuracies in estimated parameters. More precisely, we prove that latent tree models can be estimated with high probability in the so-called Kesten-Stigum regime with samples where is the number of nodes.
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