NobBS

Nowcasting by Bayesian Smoothing

Marc Lipsitch, Nicolas A. Menzies, Michael A. Johansson, Sarah F. McGough

Last update: 8 January 2024

Copyright license: MIT license, File License

Software version identifier: 0.1.0, 1.0.0

A Bayesian approach to estimate the number of occurred-but-not-yet-reported cases from incomplete, time-stamped reporting data for disease outbreaks. 'NobBS' learns the reporting delay distribution and the time evolution of the epidemic curve to produce smoothed nowcasts in both stable and time-varying case reporting settings, as described in McGough et al. (2020) <doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007735>.

Cites work

Nowcasting by Bayesian Smoothing: A flexible, generalizable model for real-time epidemic tracking

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