Spatial process gradients and their use in sensitivity analysis for environmental processes
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Abstract: This paper develops methodology for local sensitivity analysis based on directional derivatives associated with spatial processes. Formal gradient analysis for spatial processes was elaborated in previous papers, focusing on distribution theory for directional derivatives associated with a response variable assumed to follow a Gaussian process model. In the current work, these ideas are extended to additionally accommodate a continuous covariate whose directional derivatives are also of interest and to relate the behavior of the directional derivatives of the response surface to those of the covariate surface. It is of interest to assess whether, in some sense, the gradients of the response follow those of the explanatory variable. The joint Gaussian structure of all variables, including the directional derivatives, allows for explicit distribution theory and, hence, kriging across the spatial region using multivariate normal theory. Working within a Bayesian hierarchical modeling framework, posterior samples enable all gradient analysis to occur post model fitting. As a proof of concept, we show how our methodology can be applied to a standard geostatistical modeling setting using a simulation example. For a real data illustration, we work with point pattern data, deferring our gradient analysis to the intensity surface, adopting a log-Gaussian Cox process model. In particular, we relate elevation data to point patterns associated with several tree species in Duke Forest.
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Cites work
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3751955 (Why is no real title available?)
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3473616 (Why is no real title available?)
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3442988 (Why is no real title available?)
- A Composite Likelihood Approach to Binary Spatial Data
- Bayesian Wombling
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Cited in
(5)- Analysing Multivariate Spatial Point Processes with Continuous Marks: A Graphical Modelling Approach
- Bayesian Modeling with Spatial Curvature Processes
- Comments on: process modeling for slope and aspect with application to elevation data maps
- Bayesian modeling and analysis for gradients in spatiotemporal processes
- Directional Rates of Change Under Spatial Process Models
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