The COVID-19 model with partially recovered carriers
type: Item
instance of: scholarly article
title: The COVID-19 model with partially recovered carriers
zbMATH Open document ID: 1499.92104
DOI: 10.1155/2021/6406274
author: T. S. Faniran
author: E. A. Bakare
author: A. O. Falade
published in: Journal of Applied Mathematics
publication date: 2021-09-13T00:00:00Z
review text: Summary: Novel coronavirus (COVID-19) has been spreading and wreaking havoc globally, despite massive efforts by the government and World Health Organization (WHO). Consideration of partially recovered carriers is hypothesized to play a leading role in the persistence of the disease and its introduction to new areas. A model for transmission of COVID-19 by symptomless partially recovered carriers is proposed and analysed. It is shown that key parameters can be identified such that below a threshold level, built on these parameters, the epidemic tends towards extinction, while above another threshold, it tends towards a nontrivial epidemic state. Moreover, optimal control analysis of the model, using Pontryagin's maximum principle, is performed. The optimal controls are characterized in terms of the optimality system and solved numerically for several scenarios. Numerical simulations and sensitivity analysis of the basic reproduction number, \(R_c\), indicate that the disease is mainly driven by parameters involving the partially recovered carriers rather than symptomatic ones. Moreover, optimal control analysis of the model, using Pontryagin's maximum principle, is performed. The optimal controls were characterized in terms of the optimality system and solved numerically for several scenarios. Numerical simulations were explored to illustrate our theoretical findings, scenarios were built, and the model predicted that social distancing and treatment of the symptomatic will slow down the epidemic curve and reduce mortality of COVID-19 given that there is an average adherence to social distancing and effective treatment are administered.
Mathematics Subject Classification ID: 92D30
zbMATH DE Number: 7394670
MaRDI profile type: MaRDI publication profile
full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1155/2021/6406274
OpenAlex ID: W3182242913
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copyright license: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
description: scientific article; zbMATH DE number 7394670