The multi-armed bandit problem: an efficient nonparametric solution

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Abstract: Lai and Robbins (1985) and Lai (1987) provided efficient parametric solutions to the multi-armed bandit problem, showing that arm allocation via upper confidence bounds (UCB) achieves minimum regret. These bounds are constructed from the Kullback-Leibler information of the reward distributions, estimated from specified parametric families. In recent years there has been renewed interest in the multi-armed bandit problem due to new applications in machine learning algorithms and data analytics. Non-parametric arm allocation procedures like epsilon-greedy, Boltzmann exploration and BESA were studied, and modified versions of the UCB procedure were also analyzed under non-parametric settings. However unlike UCB these non-parametric procedures are not efficient under general parametric settings. In this paper we propose efficient non-parametric procedures.


The author treats the multi-armed bandit problem in the formulation which can be found in [\textit{T. L. Lai} and \textit{H. Robbins}, Adv. Appl. Math. 6, 4--22 (1985; Zbl 0568.62074)]. \textit{T. L. Lai} [Ann. Stat. 15, 1091--1114 (1987; Zbl 0643.62054)] provided efficient parametric solutions to the multi-armed bandit problem, showing that arm allocation via upper confidence bounds (UCB) achieves minimum regret. These bounds are constructed from the Kullback-Leibler information of the reward distributions, estimated from specified parametric families. The subject of this paper is a new nonparametric an arm allocation procedure subsample-mean comparison (SSMC) which is efficient when the reward distributions are from an unspecified one-dimensional exponential family. It achieves this by comparing subsample means of the leading arm with the sample means of its competitors. It is empirical in its approach, using more informative subsample means rather than full-sample means alone, for better decision-making.











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