Tube estimates for diffusion processes under a weak Hörmander condition

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Abstract: We consider a diffusion process under a local weak H"{o}rmander condition on the coefficients. We find Gaussian estimates for the density in short time and exponential lower and upper bounds for the probability that the diffusion remains in a small tube around a deterministic trajectory (skeleton path), explicitly depending on the radius of the tube and on the energy of the skeleton path. We use a norm which reflects the non-isotropic structure of the problem, meaning that the diffusion propagates in mathbbR2 with different speeds in the directions sigma and [sigma,b]. We establish a connection between this norm and the standard control distance.




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