Unbiased simulation of stochastic differential equations

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Abstract: We propose an unbiased Monte-Carlo estimator for mathbbE[g(Xt1,cdots,Xtn)], where X is a diffusion process defined by a multi-dimensional stochastic differential equation (SDE). The main idea is to start instead from a well-chosen simulatable SDE whose coefficients are updated at independent exponential times. Such a simulatable process can be viewed as a regime-switching SDE, or as a branching diffusion process with one single living particle at all times. In order to compensate for the change of the coefficients of the SDE, our main representation result relies on the automatic differentiation technique induced by Bismu-Elworthy-Li formula from Malliavin calculus, as exploited by Fourni'e et al.(1999) for the simulation of the Greeks in financial applications. In particular, this algorithm can be considered as a variation of the (infinite variance) estimator obtained in Bally and Kohatsu-Higa [Section 6.1](2014) as an application of the parametrix method.


The authors consider the process \(X_t\) defined as a unique strong solution of the multidimensional SDE \[ dX_t=\mu(t,X_t)dt+\sigma(t,X_t)dW_t, \] with \(X_0=x_0\), \(W_t\) being a \(d\)-dimensional Brownian motion, \(\mu:[0,T]\times \mathbb{R}^d\to \mathbb{R}^d\) and \(\sigma:[0,T]\times \mathbb{R}^d\to M^d\) mean and diffusion coefficients. The main focus is on the Monte Carlo approximation of the expectation \(V_0=E[g(X_{t_1},\dots,X_{t_n})]\) for some function \(G:\mathbb{R}^{d\times n}\to \mathbb{R}\) and a discrete grid \(0<t_1<\dots<t_n=T\). The suggested estimator is unbiased. The main idea is to use the Euler scheme solution as a solution to a regime switching SDE with some well-chosen coefficients. In order to compensate for the change of the coefficients of the SDE, a weight function obtained by the automatic differentiation technique induced by the Bismut-Elworthy-Li formula from Malliavin calculus is introduced. Some numerical examples are reported.



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