Large portfolio losses (Q1887260): Difference between revisions
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Latest revision as of 00:49, 20 March 2024
scientific article
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English | Large portfolio losses |
scientific article |
Statements
Large portfolio losses (English)
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24 November 2004
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The authors provide a large-deviations approximation of the tail distribution of total financial losses on a portfolio consisting of many positions. Applications include the total default losses on a bank portfolio, or the total claims against an insurer. A key assumption is that, conditional on a common ``correlating'' factor \(Y\), position losses are independent. The results include explicit calculations, conditional on a large portfolio loss, of the probability of loss for each position, and the distribution of the size of the position loss. The authors receive conditions under which a large-deviation estimate of the likelihood of a failure-threatening loss during some sub-interval of time during given planning horizon can be calculated from the likelihood of the same size loss in a certain fixed ``key time horizon''.
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large deviations
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insurance
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risk measure
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portfolio loss
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