Statistical uncertainty estimation using random forests and its application to drought forecast (Q1955344): Difference between revisions
From MaRDI portal
Set profile property. |
ReferenceBot (talk | contribs) Changed an Item |
||
(2 intermediate revisions by 2 users not shown) | |||
Property / full work available at URL | |||
Property / full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1155/2012/915053 / rank | |||
Normal rank | |||
Property / OpenAlex ID | |||
Property / OpenAlex ID: W2169921071 / rank | |||
Normal rank | |||
Property / Wikidata QID | |||
Property / Wikidata QID: Q58912666 / rank | |||
Normal rank | |||
Property / cites work | |||
Property / cites work: Stochastic renewal model of low-flow streamflow sequences / rank | |||
Normal rank | |||
Property / cites work | |||
Property / cites work: Drought forecasting using stochastic models / rank | |||
Normal rank | |||
Property / cites work | |||
Property / cites work: Q4137964 / rank | |||
Normal rank | |||
Property / cites work | |||
Property / cites work: Bagging predictors / rank | |||
Normal rank | |||
Property / cites work | |||
Property / cites work: Arcing classifiers. (With discussion) / rank | |||
Normal rank | |||
Property / cites work | |||
Property / cites work: Random forests / rank | |||
Normal rank |
Latest revision as of 13:05, 6 July 2024
scientific article
Language | Label | Description | Also known as |
---|---|---|---|
English | Statistical uncertainty estimation using random forests and its application to drought forecast |
scientific article |
Statements
Statistical uncertainty estimation using random forests and its application to drought forecast (English)
0 references
11 June 2013
0 references
Summary: Drought is part of natural climate variability and ranks the first natural disaster in the world. Drought forecasting plays an important role in mitigating impacts on agriculture and water resources. In this study, a drought forecast model based on the random forest method is proposed to predict the time series of monthly standardized precipitation index (SPI). We demonstrate model application by four stations in the Haihe river basin, China. The random-forest- (RF-) based forecast model has consistently shown better predictive skills than the ARIMA model for both long and short drought forecasting. The confidence intervals derived from the proposed model generally have good coverage, but still tend to be conservative to predict some extreme drought events.
0 references