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Moderate deviations for empirical measures of Markov chains: Lower bounds
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    Moderate deviations for empirical measures of Markov chains: Lower bounds (English)
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    7 December 1997
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    Let \(\{X_j; j\geq 0\}\) be an ergodic Markov chain with invariant probability measure \(\pi\) and \(\{b_n\}\) be a positive sequence such that \(b_n/n^{1/2} \to\infty\), \(b_n/n \to 0\). Define the random measure \(M_n= {1\over b_n} \sum^{n-1}_{j=0} (\delta_{X_j} -\pi)\). Under the assumption that the Markov chain is ergodic of degree 2 lower bounds for probabilities \(P\{M_n\in B\}\) are obtained in the form \(\lim\inf_n {n\over b^2_n} \log P\{M_n\in B\} \geq \dots\), where the right-hand side depends on certain functional, and the explicit condition for the functional is obtained.
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    moderate deviations
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    Markov chain
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    random measure
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    ergodic of degree two
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