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Latest revision as of 17:29, 13 July 2024

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The total external length of the evolving Kingman coalescent
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    The total external length of the evolving Kingman coalescent (English)
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    28 April 2017
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    The Kingman coalescent is a probabilistic model for describing genealogies of populations. With a population of size \(n\) it is associated the \(n\)-Kingman coalescent which is depicted by a binary tree started with \(n\) leaves. The evolution of the process in time is defined by a partition-valued Markov process \(\Pi=\{\Pi_k\}_{1\leq k\leq n}\) started from the partition \(\pi_n=([1],\dots,[n])\) of the set \((1,2,\ldots,n)\) into singletons. The Markovian transition mechanism is given as follows. If the process is in a state \(\pi_k\) it spends at this state the exponential time \(X_k\) with parameter \(\binom k 2\), and then jumps to the state obtained from \(\pi_k\) by merging two randomly chosen blocks in \(\pi_k\). The paper focuses on a particular functional of the process known in the literature as total external length of of branches (= the sum of the lengths of external branches). The main result of the paper establishes the limiting behavior, as \(n\to \infty\) of the above functional.
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    evolving Kingman coalescent
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    external length process
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    critical branching process
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    Gaussian process
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    coupling
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    central limit theorem
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