Power load prediction based on fractal theory (Q277797): Difference between revisions
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Revision as of 02:53, 30 January 2024
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English | Power load prediction based on fractal theory |
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Power load prediction based on fractal theory (English)
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2 May 2016
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Summary: The basic theories of load forecasting on the power system are summarized. Fractal theory, which is a new algorithm applied to load forecasting, is introduced. Based on the fractal dimension and fractal interpolation function theories, the correlation algorithms are applied to the model of short-term load forecasting. According to the process of load forecasting, the steps of every process are designed, including load data preprocessing, similar day selecting, short-term load forecasting, and load curve drawing. The attractor is obtained using an improved deterministic algorithm based on the fractal interpolation function, a day's load is predicted by three days' historical loads, the maximum relative error is within 3.7\%, and the average relative error is within 1.6\%. The experimental result shows the accuracy of this prediction method, which has a certain application reference value in the field of short-term load prediction.
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fractal theory
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load forecasting
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fractal dimension
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fractal interpolation function
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