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Revision as of 16:01, 15 February 2024
scientific article
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English | Bounds for tail probabilities of martingales using skewness and kurtosis |
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Bounds for tail probabilities of martingales using skewness and kurtosis (English)
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24 September 2008
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Let \(M_n= X_1+\dots+X_n\) be a sum of \(n\) independent random variables such that \(0 \leq X_k \leq 1, E(X_k)=0\) and \(E(X_k^2)= \sigma_k^2, 1 \leq k \leq n.\) \textit{W. Hoeffding} [J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 58, 13--30 (1963; Zbl 0127.10602)] obtained an upper bound on the tail probability \(P(M_n \geq nt), 0<t<1\) based on the variances \(\sigma_k^2, 1 \leq k \leq n.\) The authors obtain bounds for the tail probability using the skewness and kurtosis of the random variable \(X_k\) for \( 1 \leq k \leq n.\) The results continue to hold when \(X_k, 1 \leq k \leq n\) are martingale differences.
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skewness
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kurtosis
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Hoeffding's inequalities
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sums of independent random variables
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martingales
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bounds for tail probabilities
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Bernoulli random variables
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binomial tails
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probabilities of large deviations
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method of bounded differences
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