Efficiency of the independence assumption in the combination of forecasts (Q802269): Difference between revisions
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Revision as of 22:03, 19 March 2024
scientific article
| Language | Label | Description | Also known as |
|---|---|---|---|
| English | Efficiency of the independence assumption in the combination of forecasts |
scientific article |
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Efficiency of the independence assumption in the combination of forecasts (English)
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1984
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By means of theory and experimental simulation, this paper examines the circumstances whereby the independence assumption may produce more efficient composite forecasts. Its applicability is shown to depend both upon the underlying correlation structure and relative size of forecast errors as well as the observation base available for estimation.
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combination of forecasts
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robustness
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prediction
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independence assumption
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composite forecasts
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