An axiomatic characterization of preferences under uncertainty: Weakening the independence axiom (Q1087452)

The independence axiom used to derive the expected utility representation of preferences over lotteries is replaced by requiring only convexity, in terms of probability mixtures, of indifference sets. Two axiomatic characterizations are proven, one for simple measures and the other continuous and for all probability measures. The representations are structurally similar to expected utility, and are unique up to a generalization of affine transformations. First-order stochastic dominance and risk aversion are discussed using a method which finds an expected utility approximation to these preferences without requiring differentiability of the preference functional.