Visualizing the invisible: the effect of asymptomatic transmission on the outbreak dynamics of COVID-19

DOI10.1016/J.CMA.2020.113410zbMath1506.92099OpenAlexW3084138437WikidataQ112558307 ScholiaQ112558307MaRDI QIDQ2021038

Jay Bhattacharya, Mathias Peirlinck, John P. A. Ioannidis, Kevin Linka, Eran Bendavid, Francisco Sahli Costabal, Ellen Kuhl

Publication date: 26 April 2021

Published in: Computer Methods in Applied Mechanics and Engineering (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7831913

zbMATH Keywords

epidemiologyBayesian inferencemachine learninguncertainty quantificationasymptomatic transmissionCOVID-19

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30) Applications of statistics to biology and medical sciences; meta analysis (62P10)

Related Items (12)

Kinetic Modelling of Epidemic Dynamics: Social Contacts, Control with Uncertain Data, and Multiscale Spatial Dynamics ⋮ Threshold dynamics of SAIRS epidemic model with semi‐Markov switching ⋮ The role of mobility in the dynamics of the COVID-19 epidemic in Andalusia ⋮ Global stability of multi‐group SAIRS epidemic models ⋮ Global dynamics of an endemic disease model with vaccination: analysis of the asymptomatic and symptomatic groups in complex networks ⋮ COVID-19 dynamics across the US: a deep learning study of human mobility and social behavior ⋮ Bayesian inference of heterogeneous epidemic models: application to COVID-19 spread accounting for long-term care facilities ⋮ Lockdown measures and their impact on single- and two-age-structured epidemic model for the COVID-19 outbreak in Mexico ⋮ Effect of vaccination to COVID-19 disease progression and herd immunity ⋮ Bi-fidelity stochastic collocation methods for epidemic transport models with uncertainties ⋮ The influence of a transport process on the epidemic threshold ⋮ Hyperbolic compartmental models for epidemic spread on networks with uncertain data: Application to the emergence of COVID-19 in Italy

Uses Software

• PyMC
• NUTS

Cites Work

• The No-U-Turn Sampler: Adaptively Setting Path Lengths in Hamiltonian Monte Carlo
• Implementing the Nelder-Mead simplex algorithm with adaptive parameters
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• Simulating the spread of COVID-19 \textit{via} a spatially-resolved susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered-deceased (SEIRD) model with heterogeneous diffusion
• The reproduction number of COVID-19 and its correlation with public health interventions
• Bayesian-based predictions of COVID-19 evolution in Texas using multispecies mixture-theoretic continuum models
• Selection and validation of predictive models of radiation effects on tumor growth based on noninvasive imaging data
• An agent-based computational framework for simulation of competing hostile planet-wide populations
• The Mathematics of Infectious Diseases
• Adaptive multiscale predictive modelling

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