Bayesian analysis, likelihood ratio and information (Q1335400)

We present a new scheme for uncertain reasoning based on a variation of Bayes' formula, which is called Bayes' formula in likelihood ratio form. This scheme has the following merits: (1) It is consistent with human intuition (and therefore it is plausible). (2) No exact point-valued probability is required. The results reply partially to the interrogation posed by non-probability schools, and deepen our understanding of probability-based uncertain reasoning.