Sources of uncertainty in the extreme value statistics of climate data (Q549646)

The author considers models for block (annual or seasonal) maxima of surface air temperatures using the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution. Different sources of uncertainty are discussed for these models, such as uncertainties from model formulation, from unforced internal variability and from statistical model fitting. The Anderson-Darling goodness-of-fit test is applied to test the GEV (Weibull) distribution of annual temperature maxima by global data.