A new forecasting method of discrete dynamic system
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The paper presents a forecasting method called Grey Dynamic Model \(\text{GDM}(1,1,1)\) to analyze discrete dynamic systems via linear differential equations (instead of difference equations). The approach utilizes the modeling theory of Accumulated Generating Operation (AGO), spline interpolation, ARIMA modeling and Fourier series analysis. The model derived is illustrated by applying it in forecasting which uses a leading indicator technique.
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Cites work
Cited in
(7)- A new forecasting method for time continuous model of dynamic system
- Application of grey theory and multiobjective programming towards airline network design
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