A pathwise inference method for the parameters of diffusion terms
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Diffusion processes (60J60) Markov processes: estimation; hidden Markov models (62M05) Applications of statistics to actuarial sciences and financial mathematics (62P05) Numerical solutions to stochastic differential and integral equations (65C30) Interest rates, asset pricing, etc. (stochastic models) (91G30)
Abstract: We consider inference of the parameters of the diffusion term for Cox-Ingersoll-Ross and similar processes with a power type dependence of the diffusion coefficient from the underlying process. We suggest some original pathwise estimates for this coefficient and for the power index based on an analysis of an auxiliary continuous time complex valued process generated by the underlying real valued process. These estimates do not rely on the distribution of the underlying process and on a particular choice of the drift. Some numerical experiments are used to illustrate the feasibility of the suggested method.
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