Almost all orbits of the Collatz map attain almost bounded values

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Abstract: Define the emph{Collatz map} mathrmCol:mathbbN+1omathbbN+1 on the positive integers mathbbN+1=1,2,3,dots by setting mathrmCol(N) equal to 3N+1 when N is odd and N/2 when N is even, and let mathrmColmin(N):=infninmathbbNmathrmColn(N) denote the minimal element of the Collatz orbit N,mathrmCol(N),mathrmCol2(N),dots. The infamous emph{Collatz conjecture} asserts that mathrmColmin(N)=1 for all NinmathbbN+1. Previously, it was shown by Korec that for any heta>fraclog3log4approx0.7924, one has mathrmColmin(N)leqNheta for almost all NinmathbbN+1 (in the sense of natural density). In this paper we show that for emph{any} function f:mathbbN+1omathbbR with limNoinftyf(N)=+infty, one has mathrmColmin(N)leqf(N) for almost all NinmathbbN+1 (in the sense of logarithmic density). Our proof proceeds by establishing an approximate transport property for a certain first passage random variable associated with the Collatz iteration (or more precisely, the closely related Syracuse iteration), which in turn follows from estimation of the characteristic function of a certain skew random walk on a 3-adic cyclic group at high frequencies. This estimation is achieved by studying how a certain two-dimensional renewal process interacts with a union of triangles associated to a given frequency.











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