An Approach to Robust Bayesian Analysis for Multidimensional Parameter Spaces

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The author deals with Bayes inference in multiparameter situations. Sometimes a prior is described as a joint density for all parameters, and in some other cases it is described as a product of marginal and conditional densities. Four classes of priors are mentioned, such as quantile class, \(\epsilon\)-contamination class, density-ratio class and the density-bounded class. The author is of the opinion that for robust Bayes analysis the first three classes may be sensible for the former type while they may not be as satisfactory for the latter type. For this reason, a density-bounded class is suggested. Further, a technique is given to reduce the difficult nonlinear optimization problem, in connection with finding tight bounds for the posterior expectation, to a sequence of linear optimizations, which obviously are more easy to handle. Finally, this idea is illustrated with an example from a clinical trial.




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