Applied semi-Markov processes.

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The main emphasis is (visible from the amount of space dedicated to the three topics) on presentation of the more or less classical theory. Most of the chapters are closed by considerating numerical procedures and recipies, and an application example with real life data. Examples are often from insurance and financial applications. The authors recommend to consider semi-Markov process models for insurance and financial applications instead of the standard (Brownian motion and related) models used up to now. The examples presented here support this recommendation, and it is well known from the literature that semi-Markov processes constitute a versatile class of models which have been applied successfully in many fields. A book like the one under review therefore might be an interesting complement to standard books on stochastic modeling. The chapter headings are: 1. Probability tools for stochastic modelling (45 pages), 2. Renewal theory (60 pages), 3. Markov chains (40 pages), 4. Markov renewal theory, Markov random walks and semi-Markov processes (50 pages), 5. Functionals of \((J-X)\) processes (30 pages), 6. Non-homogeneous Markov and semi-Markov processes (20 pages), 7. Markov and semi-Markov reward processes (50 pages). Half of the book (Chapters 1--3) is standard preliminary material. Chapter 4 starts with the semi-Markov processes, which are called here (positive) \((J-X)\) processes \((J-X)= ((J_n,X_n):n\geq 0)\), where \((J_n:n\geq 0)\) is the sequence of successive states of the process and \((X_n:n\geq 0)\) is the sequence of successive sojourn times for the states. For these processes the state classification is developed and the asymptotic behaviour is derived and classified. In Chapter 5 the assumption that the \(X_n\) are nonnegative real variables is removed and the so called general \((J-X)\) processes with real variables \(X_n\) are studied as generalization of random walks with state dependent jump heights. The theory for non-homogeneous (in time) processses is described rather shortly in Chapter 6. The reward processes (discounted and undiscounted case) are considered in Chapter 7 for different reward structures and dependencies on the model parameters, again with special emphasis on financial applications. For each model (numbered consecutively without reference to the model's characteristics) the evolution equation for the reward functional is given. The value of the book is strongly decreased by a large number of typos and flaws, even in the standard material.




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