Conditional precedence orders for stochastic comparison of random variables

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Abstract: Most of the stochastic orders for comparing random variables, considered in the literature, are afflicted with two main drawbacks: (i) lack of connex property and (ii) lack of consideration of any dependence structure between the random variables. Both these drawbacks can be overcome at the cost of transitivity with the stochastic precedence order, which may seem to be a good choice in particular when only two random variables are under consideration, a situation where the question of transitivity does not arise. In this paper, we show that even under such favorable conditions, stochastic precedence order may direct to misleading conclusion in certain situations and develop variations of the order to address the phenomenon.


The goal of this paper is to introduce a notion of stochastic order based on splitting the distance between \(X\) and \(Y\), into two parts: one based on \(X>Y\) and the other based on \(X<Y\), and finally comparing the two parts. A new stochastic order is proposed, which works better than the traditional stochastic orders in certain situations. The paper gives a rough prescription on how to choose among stochastic precedence order, mean order and conditional \(K \ast\) precedence order. The authors show that the order may mislead even in certain situations where transitivity is not relevant, and develop variations to address the phenomenon.











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