Conflations of probability distributions
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conflation of probability distributionsconvolution theoremestimatorsGauss-Markov theoremproduct of probability density functionsShannon information
Probability distributions: general theory (60E05) Statistical aspects of information-theoretic topics (62B10) Characterization and structure theory of statistical distributions (62E10) Applications of statistics in engineering and industry; control charts (62P30) Applications of statistics to physics (62P35) Measures of information, entropy (94A17)
Abstract: The conflation of a finite number of probability distributions P_1,..., P_n is a consolidation of those distributions into a single probability distribution Q=Q(P_1,..., P_n), where intuitively Q is the conditional distribution of independent random variables X_1,..., X_n with distributions P_1,..., P_n, respectively, given that X_1= ... =X_n. Thus, in large classes of distributions the conflation is the distribution determined by the normalized product of the probability density or probability mass functions. Q is shown to be the unique probability distribution that minimizes the loss of Shannon Information in consolidating the combined information from P_1,..., P_n into a single distribution Q, and also to be the optimal consolidation of the distributions with respect to two minimax likelihood-ratio criteria. When P_1,..., P_n are Gaussian, Q is Gaussian with mean the classical weighted-mean-squares reciprocal of variances. A version of the classical convolution theorem holds for conflations of a large class of a.c. measures.
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Cited in
(8)- Fusions of a probability distribution
- Vincentization revisited
- A posteriori integration of probabilities. Elementary theory
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