Convergence of a second order Markov chain

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Abstract: In this paper, we consider convergence properties of a second order Markov chain. Similar to a column stochastic matrix is associated to a Markov chain, a so called {em transition probability tensor} P of order 3 and dimension n is associated to a second order Markov chain with n states. For this P, define FP as FP(x):=Px2 on the n1 dimensional standard simplex Deltan. If 1 is not an eigenvalue of ablaFP on Deltan and P is irreducible, then there exists a unique fixed point of FP on Deltan. In particular, if every entry of P is greater than frac12n, then 1 is not an eigenvalue of ablaFP on Deltan. Under the latter condition, we further show that the second order power method for finding the unique fixed point of FP on Deltan is globally linearly convergent and the corresponding second order Markov process is globally R-linearly convergent.




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