Cyber Epidemic Models with Dependences
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Abstract: Studying models of cyber epidemics over arbitrary complex networks can deepen our understanding of cyber security from a whole-system perspective. In this paper, we initiate the investigation of cyber epidemic models that accommodate the {em dependences} between the cyber attack events. Due to the notorious difficulty in dealing with such dependences, essentially all existing cyber epidemic models have assumed them away. Specifically, we introduce the idea of Copulas into cyber epidemic models for accommodating the dependences between the cyber attack events. We investigate the epidemic equilibrium thresholds as well as the bounds for both equilibrium and non-equilibrium infection probabilities. We further characterize the side-effects of assuming away the due dependences between the cyber attack events, by showing that the results thereof are unnecessarily restrictive or even incorrect.
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Cites work
- An extended stochastic model for quantitative security analysis of networked systems
- An introduction to copulas.
- An introduction to the theory of graph spectra
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 5080942 (Why is no real title available?)
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1134711 (Why is no real title available?)
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1973375 (Why is no real title available?)
- Multivariate Archimedean copulas, \(d\)-monotone functions and \(\ell _{1}\)-norm symmetric distributions
- The Many Proofs and Applications of Perron's Theorem
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- A comprehensive model for cyber risk based on marked point processes and its application to insurance
- Multivariate dependence among cyber risks based on \(L\)-hop propagation
- Optimal response to epidemics and cyber attacks in networks
- Modeling multivariate cybersecurity risks
- A stochastic model of cyber attacks with imperfect detection
- Statistical modeling of computer malware propagation dynamics in cyberspace
- Cybersecurity Insurance: Modeling and Pricing
- A note on dependence of epidemic threshold on state transition diagram in the SEIC cybersecurity dynamical system model
- Vine copula modeling dependence among cyber risks: a dangerous regulatory paradox
- Is accumulation risk in cyber methodically underestimated?
- Modeling the effect of spending on cyber security by using surplus process
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