Statistical modeling of computer malware propagation dynamics in cyberspace

DOI10.1080/02664763.2020.1845621MaRDI QIDQ5085664zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Zijian Fang, Peng Zhao, Maochao Xu, Shouhuai Xu, Taizhong Hu, Xing Fang

Publication date 27 June 2022

Published in Journal of Applied Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1080/02664763.2020.1845621

zbMATH Keywords

Bayesian time seriescyber threatsMCMCSIRSIS

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Applications of statistics (62Pxx)

Cites work

• A simple and efficient simulation smoother for state space time series analysis
• A stochastic model of active cyber defense dynamics
• Cyber Epidemic Models with Dependences
• Dynamic Bayesian influenza forecasting in the United States with hierarchical discrepancy (with discussion)
• Inferring causal impact using Bayesian structural time-series models
• Modeling and predicting extreme cyber attack rates via marked point processes
• Modeling and stability analysis of worm propagation in wireless sensor network
• Modeling multivariate cybersecurity risks
• Optimizing active cyber defense
• Predicting the present with Bayesian structural time series
• Predictive modeling of cholera outbreaks in Bangladesh
• Time series analysis by state space methods.
• Tracking epidemics with google flu trends data and a state-space SEIR model

Cited in

(2)

• A novel dynamic model for web malware spreading over scale-free networks
• Epidemiological Diffusion and Discrete Branching Models for Malware Propagation in Computer Networks

Describes a project that uses

Uses Software

• BayesDA
• CausalImpact
• igraph
• EpiModel

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