Tracking Epidemics With Google Flu Trends Data and a State-Space SEIR Model
From MaRDI portal
Publication:4904719
DOI10.1080/01621459.2012.713876zbMath1258.62102OpenAlexW2035636354WikidataQ63521638 ScholiaQ63521638MaRDI QIDQ4904719
Hedibert Freitas Lopes, Vanja Dukić, Nicholas G. Polson
Publication date: 31 January 2013
Published in: Journal of the American Statistical Association (Search for Journal in Brave)
Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.2012.713876
infectious diseasesnowcastingparticle filteringinfluenzaH1N1fluGoogle correlateGoogle insightsGoogle searchesGoogle trendsIP surveillanceonline surveillance
Epidemiology (92D30) Applications of statistics to biology and medical sciences; meta analysis (62P10) Sampling theory, sample surveys (62D05) Sequential statistical methods (62L99)
Related Items
Estimation of under-reporting in epidemics using approximations ⋮ Direct likelihood-based inference for discretely observed stochastic compartmental models of infectious disease ⋮ Predictive modeling of cholera outbreaks in Bangladesh ⋮ Bayesian modeling of temporal properties of infectious disease in a college student population ⋮ Inference for stochastic kinetic models from multiple data sources for joint estimation of infection dynamics from aggregate reports and virological data ⋮ Sparse seasonal and periodic vector autoregressive modeling ⋮ Statistical modeling of computer malware propagation dynamics in cyberspace ⋮ Confidence intervals based on the deviance statistic for the hyperparameters in state space models ⋮ Efficient real-time monitoring of an emerging influenza pandemic: how feasible? ⋮ Time series modeling of pathogen‐specific disease probabilities with subsampled data ⋮ A linear noise approximation for stochastic epidemic models fit to partially observed incidence counts ⋮ A Review of Multi‐Compartment Infectious Disease Models ⋮ Estimating COVID-19 vaccine protection rates via dynamic epidemiological models -- a study of 10 countries ⋮ SPADE4: sparsity and delay embedding based forecasting of epidemics ⋮ Real-time mechanistic Bayesian forecasts of COVID-19 mortality ⋮ Birth/birth-death processes and their computable transition probabilities with biological applications ⋮ Comparison of the performance of particle filter algorithms applied to tracking of a disease epidemic ⋮ A family of multivariate non‐gaussian time series models ⋮ Dynamic Bayesian influenza forecasting in the United States with hierarchical discrepancy (with discussion) ⋮ Inference for reaction networks using the linear noise approximation ⋮ Estimation and outbreak detection with interval observers for uncertain discrete-time SEIR epidemic models ⋮ Modifying the network-based stochastic SEIR model to account for quarantine: an application to COVID-19 ⋮ Bayesian hierarchical statistical SIRS models ⋮ Epidemic models with discrete state structures ⋮ The parameter Houlihan: a solution to high-throughput identifiability indeterminacy for brutally ill-posed problems ⋮ Sequential Bayesian inference in hidden Markov stochastic kinetic models with application to detection and response to seasonal epidemics
Cites Work
- Unnamed Item
- Unnamed Item
- Bayesian forecasting and dynamic models.
- Particle learning and smoothing
- The estimation of the effective reproductive number from disease outbreak data
- The Mathematics of Infectious Diseases
- Following a Moving Target—Monte Carlo Inference for Dynamic Bayesian Models
- Particle filters and Bayesian inference in financial econometrics
- Practical Filtering with Sequential Parameter Learning
- Automatic Selection of Methods for Solving Stiff and Nonstiff Systems of Ordinary Differential Equations
- Exact Filtering for Partially Observed Continuous Time Models
- The Multiset Sampler
- Online updating of space-time disease surveillance models via particle filters
- Statistical inference and model selection for the 1861 Hagelloch measles epidemic
- Bayesian analysis for emerging infectious diseases