Bayesian forecasting and dynamic models.
DOI10.1007/B98971zbMATH Open0871.62026OpenAlexW2151926297MaRDI QIDQ676677FDOQ676677
Authors: Mike West, Jeff Harrison
Publication date: 19 March 1997
Published in: Springer Series in Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)
Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1007/b98971
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- Feasible parameter regions for alternative discrete state space models
- Automatic monitoring and intervention in multivariate dynamic linear models
- Graphical dynamic linear models: Specification, use and graphical transformations
- Bayesian Forecasting for Accident Proneness Evaluation
- Time series. Modeling, computation, and inference
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- Bayesian prediction of earthquake network based on space-time influence domain
- Characterising economic trends by Bayesian stochastic model specification search
- Mixtures of experts for understanding model discrepancy in dynamic computer models
- A dynamic linear model with extended skew-normal for the initial distribution of the state parameter
- Bayesian model selection of regular vine copulas
- Statistical Modeling for Spatio-Temporal Data From Stochastic Convection-Diffusion Processes
- Sequential state inference of engineering systems through the particle move-reweighting algorithm
- Spatially varying dynamic coefficient models
- An improved particle filtering-based approach for health prediction and prognosis of nonlinear systems
- A group analysis using the multiregression dynamic models for fMRI networked time series
- Studying the effective brain connectivity using multiregression dynamic models
- Modelling zero-inflated spatio-temporal processes
- Bayesian Computation in Dynamic Latent Factor Models
- Toward a multisubject analysis of neural connectivity
- The marginal likelihood of dynamic mixture models
- Parallel tempering for dynamic generalized linear models
- Emulator-assisted reduced-rank ecological data assimilation for nonlinear multivariate dynamical spatio-temporal processes
- A Bayesian analysis of moving average processes with time-varying parameters
- Automatic selective intervention in dynamic linear models
- On the sources of uncertainty in exchange rate predictability
- Flexible integro-difference equation modeling for spatio-temporal data
- Identifying business cycle turning points with sequential Monte Carlo methods: an online and real-time application to the euro area
- Statistical inference for dynamical systems: a review
- A tractable state-space model for symmetric positive-definite matrices
- Comment on article by Windle and Carvalho
- Hellinger distance and non-informative priors
- Dynamic Bayesian beta models
- Monitoring Residual Autocorrelations in Dynamic Linear Models
- Decomposition of time series models in state-space form
- Monitoring and Adaptation in Bayesian Forecasting Models
- Space-time data fusion under error in computer model output: an application to modeling air quality
- Sequential Bayesian inference for static parameters in dynamic state space models
- A Comparison of the Characteristics of Some Bayesian Forecasting Models
- BAYESIAN ANALYSIS OF ECONOMETRIC TIME SERIES MODELS USING HYBRID INTEGRATION RULES
- Statistical process control and model monitoring
- Bayesian spatio-dynamic modeling in cell motility studies: learning nonlinear taxic fields guiding the immune response
- Bayesian dynamic probit models for the analysis of longitudinal data
- Observable trend-projecting state-space models
- An adaptive resampling scheme for cycle estimation
- Structured priors for multivariate time series
- Monitoring changes in exponential family models: a two-sided Bayesian decision approach
- Regression models for exceedance data: a new approach
- Multivariate Bayesian predictive synthesis in macroeconomic forecasting
- Exterior exposure estimation using a one-compartment toxicokinetic model with blood sample measurements
- Sequential estimation of mixtures of structured autoregressive models
- An efficient sampling scheme for dynamic generalized models
- Time-varying threshold regression model using the Kalman filter method
- Bayesian monitoring of local residual autocorrelations taking into account the run-length
- Inference for Adaptive Time Series Models: Stochastic Volatility and Conditionally Gaussian State Space Form
- Dynamic hierarchical models: an extension to matrix-variate observations.
- A Bayesian paradigm for designing intrusion detection systems
- On particle methods for parameter estimation in state-space models
- Bayesian decision support for complex systems with many distributed experts
- Dynamic effects in inefficiency: evidence from the Colombian banking sector
- Dynamic Bayesian predictive synthesis in time series forecasting
- The seasonal forecast of electricity demand: a hierarchical Bayesian model with climatological weather generator
- Hyper-spherical and elliptical stochastic cycles
- Hyperparameter estimation in forecast models.
- Dynamic dependence networks: financial time series forecasting and portfolio decisions
- Dynamic logistic regression and dynamic model averaging for binary classification
- A bivariate space-time downscaler under space and time misalignment
- Hierarchical Gaussian graphical models: beyond reversible jump
- Dynamic Programming for Response-Adaptive Dose-Finding Clinical Trials
- Dynamics \& sparsity in latent threshold factor models: a study in multivariate EEG signal processing
- Dynamic quantile linear models: a Bayesian approach
- Particle filters for continuous likelihood evaluation and maximisation
- A Bayesian beta Markov random field calibration of the term structure of implied risk neutral densities
- Searching multiregression dynamic models of resting-state fMRI networks using integer programming
- Sequential Bayesian model selection of regular vine copulas
- Regression models for time-varying extremes
- Particle learning and smoothing
- A simple hidden markov model for bayesian modeling with time dependent data
- Bayesian forecasting of multivariate time series: scalability, structure uncertainty and decisions
- Semiparametric Bayesian inference in smooth coefficient models
- Time-varying extreme pattern with dynamic models
- Learning and approximate inference in dynamic hierarchical models
- Forecasting in dynamic factor models using Bayesian model averaging
- A non-Gaussian family of state-space models with exact marginal likelihood
- Confronting model misspecification in macroeconomics
- A Bayesian regime-switching time-series model
- Can the random walk model be beaten in out-of-sample density forecasts? Evidence from intraday foreign exchange rates
- Approximate Bayesian inference for latent Gaussian models by using integrated nested Laplace approximations (with discussion)
- ELICITING A DIRECTED ACYCLIC GRAPH FOR A MULTIVARIATE TIME SERIES OF VEHICLE COUNTS IN A TRAFFIC NETWORK
- Large time-varying parameter VARs
- Dynamic survival models with spatial frailty
- Time-varying combinations of predictive densities using nonlinear filtering
- Simulation-based sequential analysis of Markov switching stochastic volatility models
- Conditionally linear models for non-homogeneous spatial random fields
- Tracking epidemics with google flu trends data and a state-space SEIR model
- Embedding a state space model into a Markov decision process
- State space mixed models for binary responses with scale mixture of normal distributions links
- A dynamic nonstationary spatio-temporal model for short term prediction of precipitation
- Nonlinear and non-Gaussian state-space modeling with Monte Carlo simulations
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