Time series modelling methods to forecast the volume of self-assessment tax returns in the UK

DOI10.1080/02664763.2021.1953448OpenAlexW3186728084MaRDI QIDQ5044684FDOQ5044684

Authors: Garo Panikian, Gabby Colmenares Reverol, Jayne Rhodes, Emma McLarnon, Sarah Keast, Kokouvi M. Gamado 

Publication date: 2 November 2022

Published in: Journal of Applied Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1080/02664763.2021.1953448

zbMATH Keywords

Bayesian inferenceensemble modellingmaking tax digitalself-assessment forecast

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Applications of statistics (62Pxx)

Cites Work

• Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation
• Title not available (Why is that?)
• Pattern recognition and machine learning.
• Handbook of Markov Chain Monte Carlo
• Bayesian forecasting and dynamic models.
• Statistical decision theory and Bayesian analysis. 2nd ed
• Science and Statistics
• Title not available (Why is that?)
• Forecasting with exponential smoothing. The state space approach
• Title not available (Why is that?)
• Forecasting time series with complex seasonal patterns using exponential smoothing
• Disturbance smoother for state space models
• Priors and Component Structures in Autoregressive Time Series Models

Uses Software

• JAGS
• SsfPack
• BayesDA
• expsmooth

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