Modeling hourly ozone concentration fields

DOI10.1214/09-AOAS318zbMATH Open1202.62169arXiv0706.0073OpenAlexW2068388041MaRDI QIDQ614134FDOQ614134

Authors: Yiping Dou, Nhu D. Le, James V. Zidek 

Publication date: 27 December 2010

Published in: The Annals of Applied Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: This paper presents a dynamic linear model for modeling hourly ozone concentrations over the eastern United States. That model, which is developed within an Bayesian hierarchical framework, inherits the important feature of such models that its coefficients, treated as states of the process, can change with time. Thus the model includes a time--varying site invariant mean field as well as time varying coefficients for 24 and 12 diurnal cycle components. This cost of this model's great flexibility comes at the cost of computational complexity, forcing us to use an MCMC approach and to restrict application of our model domain to a small number of monitoring sites. We critically assess this model and discover some of its weaknesses in this type of application.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/0706.0073

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zbMATH Keywords

hierarchical Bayesspatial predictiondynamic linear modelspace-time fieldsozone

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Bayesian inference (62F15) Inference from spatial processes (62M30) Applications of statistics to environmental and related topics (62P12)

Cites Work

• Statistical analysis of environmental space-time processes.
• On Gibbs sampling for state space models
• Bayesian forecasting and dynamic models.
• Dynamic models for spatiotemporal data
• Modeling hourly ozone concentration fields
• Estimating exposure response functions using ambient pollution concentrations
• Interpolation with uncertain spatial covariances: A Bayesian alternative to Kriging
• A Spatiotemporal Model for Mexico City Ozone Levels
• Spatially varying temperature trends in a central California estuary
• Relating Ambient Particulate Matter Concentration Levels to Mortality Using an Exposure Simulator

Cited In (11)

• Bayesian spatial quantile regression
• A spatio-temporal downscaler for output from numerical models
• Bayesian modeling of discrete-time point-referenced spatio-temporal data
• A Spatiotemporal Model for Mexico City Ozone Levels
• A comparison of Bayesian models for daily ozone concentration levels
• A statistical modeling approach for air quality data based on physical dispersion processes and its application to ozone modeling
• Modeling hourly ozone concentration fields
• A class of covariate-dependent spatiotemporal covariance functions for the analysis of daily ozone concentration
• Spatial prediction and temporal backcasting for environmental fields having monotone data patterns
• Bayesian Spatial Prediction of Random Space-Time Fields With Application to Mapping PM_2.5Exposure
• Hierarchical spatially varying coefficient and temporal dynamic process models using \texttt{spTDyn}

Uses Software

• R
• EnviroStat

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