Dynamic population models.
This monograph is both survey and textbook. With over 100 end of chapter exercises (some with solutions in Appendix B) and a very clear style, it is accessible to graduate students in demography with a good background in linear algebra and differential and difference equations. For experts, it provides a fine survey of the most used mathematical models in demography, with many practical applications. The 9 chapters fall into 3 main modules. Module 1, chapters 1 through 4, covers basic models with constant rates (mortality, birth, growth). One way to think about this material is in terms of the Leslie matrix, \(A\), which contains all that information in an \(m\)-matrix. Letting \(x\) represent that distributional state of the population, and \(n\) be the maximum age at reproduction, one gets the dynamic system \(x(t+n)= Ax(t)\). Results concerning the existence of a stationary state, or a dynamic steady state, then follow from the properties of \(A\). An insightful application of the above system is Singapore. Module 2, chapters 5 and 6, looks at the comparative statics and dynamics of changes in longevity, fertility and divorce, still within the constant rates framework -- although now those rates may be affected by one time shocks. This leads to tractable models of demographic transition. In terms of the above equation, think of \(m\) and \(n\) changing, all well as many entries of the matrix \(A\) itself. An insightful application of this material is for Germany, Austria, and Switzerland. The third module, 7 through 9, drops the constant rate assumption. Here, either there are multiple-age models with rates by age, or multiple-state models, with rates being state-dependent, or both. These models are computationally quite intensive, and indeed raise open questions. For instance, it is not known whether there in general exists a steady state for the multi-age, multi-state model. I learned a lot from reading this book, and if you are interested in mathematical demography, you will too. With index and over 200 references.
- Integrated population biology and modeling. Part A
- Applied mathematical demography
- Analytical family demography
- Dynamic demographic analysis
- A linear model of population dynamics
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3904392 (Why is no real title available?)
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 41119 (Why is no real title available?)
- A problem in household composition
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1138351 (Why is no real title available?)
- Dynamic populations with uniform natural increase across states
- Finite Population Dynamics and Mixed Equilibria
- High dimensional space to formulate marriage and birth functions
- Biodemography. An introduction to concepts and methods. With a foreword by James W. Vaupel
- Intrinsically dynamic multistate models
- On the reproductive value and the spectrum of a population projection matrix with implications for dynamic population models
- On the reproductive value and the spectrum of a population projection matrix with implications for dynamic population models
- Stationary status of discrete and continuous age-structured population models
- Principle of dynamic balance of demographic process and the limits of world population growth
- Mortality risk modeling: applications to insurance securitization
- Proportional population models and stability analysis on time scales
- Resonance of the epidemic threshold in a periodic environment
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