Efficient exposure computation by risk factor decomposition
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Abstract: The focus of this paper is the efficient computation of counterparty credit risk exposure on portfolio level. Here, the large number of risk factors rules out traditional PDE-based techniques and allows only a relatively small number of paths for nested Monte Carlo simulations, resulting in large variances of estimators in practice. We propose a novel approach based on Kolmogorov forward and backward PDEs, where we counter the high dimensionality by a generalisation of anchored-ANOVA decompositions. By computing only the most significant terms in the decomposition, the dimensionality is reduced effectively, such that a significant computational speed-up arises from the high accuracy of PDE schemes in low dimensions compared to Monte Carlo estimation. Moreover, we show how this truncated decomposition can be used as control variate for the full high-dimensional model, such that any approximation errors can be corrected while a substantial variance reduction is achieved compared to the standard simulation approach. We investigate the accuracy for a realistic portfolio of exchange options, interest rate and cross-currency swaps under a fully calibrated ten-factor model.
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- A forward equation for computing derivatives exposure
- Total value adjustment for a stochastic volatility model. A comparison with the Black-Scholes model
- Sparse grid method for highly efficient computation of exposures for xVA
- Efficient computation of exposure profiles for counterparty credit risk
- Efficient exposure computation by risk factor decomposition
- Corrigendum to ``Total value adjustment for a stochastic volatility model. A comparison with the Black-Scholes model
- Calibration of a hybrid local-stochastic volatility stochastic rates model with a control variate particle method
- Deep xVA Solver: A Neural Network–Based Counterparty Credit Risk Management Framework
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