Estimating limits from Poisson counting data using Dempster-Shafer analysis

DOI10.1214/00-AOAS223MaRDI QIDQ2270672zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Paul T. Edlefsen, Chuanhai Liu, Arthur P. Dempster

Publication date 29 July 2009

Published in The Annals of Applied Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/0812.1690

zbMATH Keywords

Bayesianbelief functionDempster-Shaferevidence theoryHiggs bosonhigh-energy physicsPoisson

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Foundations and philosophical topics in statistics (62A01) Applications of statistics to physics (62P35)

Abstract: We present a Dempster--Shafer (DS) approach to estimating limits from Poisson counting data with nuisance parameters. Dempster--Shafer is a statistical framework that generalizes Bayesian statistics. DS calculus augments traditional probability by allowing mass to be distributed over power sets of the event space. This eliminates the Bayesian dependence on prior distributions while allowing the incorporation of prior information when it is available. We use the Poisson Dempster--Shafer model (DSM) to derive a posterior DSM for the ``Banff upper limits challenge three-Poisson model. The results compare favorably with other approaches, demonstrating the utility of the approach. We argue that the reduced dependence on priors afforded by the Dempster--Shafer framework is both practically and theoretically desirable.

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Cited in

(12)

• The Dempster-Shafer calculus for statisticians
• Estimating limits from Poisson counting data using Dempster-Shafer analysis
• Multigranulation information fusion: a Dempster-Shafer evidence theory-based clustering ensemble method
• Classification by fiducial predictive density functions
• Discussion of ``On the Birnbaum argument for the strong likelihood principle
• A Gibbs Sampler for a Class of Random Convex Polytopes
• The EAS approach for graphical selection consistency in vector autoregression models
• A fiducial approach to the nonparametric deconvolution problem: the discrete case
• AutoGFI: Streamlined Generalized Fiducial Inference for Modern Inference Problems in Models with Additive Errors
• Demystifying inferential models and confidence curves: a fiducial perspective
• BinGFI: a fully automated framework for generalized fiducial inference for binary data
• Dempster-Shafer theory and statistical inference with weak beliefs

Describes a project that uses

Uses Software

• genlimit

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