A Gibbs Sampler for a Class of Random Convex Polytopes

DOI10.1080/01621459.2021.1881523MaRDI QIDQ6044625zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Pierre E. Jacob, Ruobin Gong, Paul T. Edlefsen, Arthur P. Dempster

Publication date 22 May 2023

Published in Journal of the American Statistical Association (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/1910.11953

zbMATH Keywords

algorithmssimulationBayesian methodscategorical data analysis

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Bayesian inference (62F15) Nonparametric estimation (62G05) Geometric probability and stochastic geometry (60D05) Random convex sets and integral geometry (aspects of convex geometry) (52A22)

Abstract: We present a Gibbs sampler for the Dempster-Shafer (DS) approach to statistical inference for Categorical distributions. The DS framework extends the Bayesian approach, allows in particular the use of partial prior information, and yields three-valued uncertainty assessments representing probabilities "for", "against", and "don't know" about formal assertions of interest. The proposed algorithm targets the distribution of a class of random convex polytopes which encapsulate the DS inference. The sampler relies on an equivalence between the iterative constraints of the vertex configuration and the non-negativity of cycles in a fully connected directed graph. Illustrations include the testing of independence in 2x2 contingency tables and parameter estimation of the linkage model.

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• Exact likelihood-based evidential prediction of an ordinal variable
• Uncertainty quantification in logistic regression using random fuzzy sets and belief functions

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