Evaluating a model of forest succession using fuzzy analysis
This paper discusses how to select the optimal policy from a set of possible policies for a model of forest succession, which can be characterized by a set of trees and the corresponding average life-span with each possible tree transition. The transition probabilities are estimated by counting the numbers of sampling trees of each species under a canopy tree. The transition matrix is defined by using the linguistic terms and as a consequence, the expected longevity of each tree is fuzzy. The Dempster-Shafer theory is used to approximate the transition probabilities.
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