Exponential extinction time of the contact process on finite graphs

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Abstract: We study the extinction time uptau of the contact process on finite trees of bounded degree. We show that, if the infection rate is larger than the critical rate for the contact process on , then, uniformly over all trees of degree bounded by a given number, the expectation of uptau grows exponentially with the number of vertices. Additionally, for any sequence of growing trees of bounded degree, uptau divided by its expectation converges in distribution to the unitary exponential distribution. These also hold if one considers a sequence of graphs having spanning trees with uniformly bounded degree. Using these results, we consider the contact process on a random graph with vertex degrees following a power law. Improving a result of Chatterjee and Durrett cite{CD}, we show that, for any infection rate, the extinction time for the contact process on this graph grows exponentially with the number of vertices.


The contact process on a graph is a Markov process on the graph with parameter \(\lambda\) modelling the spread of infection with an absorbing state (i.e., no infection). One of the main questions for contact processes on finite graphs is the extinction time \(\tau\), the random time at which there is no infection. It is known that for some families of graphs, such as finite hypercubes, \(\tau\) is (roughly) exponential in the number of vertices for \(\lambda\) above some critical value \(\lambda_c\). This is the phenomenon of metastability.NEWLINENEWLINEThe present paper shows that for trees with bounded degree and \(\lambda\) greater than the critical value for \(\mathbb{Z}\), metastability holds as the size of the trees gets large. A result similar in spirit is shown for graphs which contain a spanning tree with bounded degree. The latter result is applied to large random graphs whose vertex-degrees are power-law distributed and metastability is shown for any \(\lambda > 0\).




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