Extended generalised Pareto models for tail estimation
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Abstract: The most popular approach in extreme value statistics is the modelling of threshold exceedances using the asymptotically motivated generalised Pareto distribution. This approach involves the selection of a high threshold above which the model fits the data well. Sometimes, few observations of a measurement process might be recorded in applications and so selecting a high quantile of the sample as the threshold leads to almost no exceedances. In this paper we propose extensions of the generalised Pareto distribution that incorporate an additional shape parameter while keeping the tail behaviour unaffected. The inclusion of this parameter offers additional structure for the main body of the distribution, improves the stability of the modified scale, tail index and return level estimates to threshold choice and allows a lower threshold to be selected. We illustrate the benefits of the proposed models with a simulation study and two case studies.
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- Authors' reply to the discussion of: ``Inference for extreme spatial temperature events in a changing climate with application to Ireland
- Alexa A. Sochaniwsky and Paul D. Mcnicholas's contribution to the discussion of: ``Inference for extreme spatial temperature events in a changing climate with application to Ireland
- Stefano Rizzelli's contribution to the discussion of: ``Inference for extreme spatial temperature events in a changing climate with application to Ireland
- Emilio Porcu, Horst Simon, and Youssef Wehbe's contribution to the discussion of: ``Inference for extreme spatial temperature events in a changing climate with application to Ireland
- Jonathan Koh's contribution to the discussion of: ``Inference for extreme spatial temperature events in a changing climate with application to Ireland
- Anthony C. Davison and Raphaël de Fondeville's contribution to the discussion of: ``Inference for extreme spatial temperature events in a changing climate with application to Ireland
- Miriam Cuba, Daniela Castro-Camilo, and Marian Scott's contribution to the discussion of: ``Inference for extreme spatial temperature events in a changing climate with application to Ireland
- Peter F. Craigmile, Peter Guttorp, and Thordis l. Thorarinsdottir's contribution to the discussion of: ``Inference for extreme spatial temperature events in a changing climate with application to Ireland
- Jorge Castillo-Mateo, Alan E. Gelfand, Ana C. Cebrián, and Jesús Asín's contribution to the discussion of: ``Inference for extreme spatial temperature events in a changing climate with application to Ireland
- Jordan Richards, Myung Won Lee, Viviana Carcaiso, and Miguel de Carvalho's contribution to the discussion of: ``Inference for extreme spatial temperature events in a changing climate with application to Ireland
- Richard Smith's contribution to the discussion of: ``Inference for extreme spatial temperature events in a changing climate with application to Ireland
- Seconder of the vote of thanks to Healy et al. and contribution to the discussion of: ``Inference for extreme spatial temperature events in a changing climate with application to Ireland
- Proposer of the vote of thanks to Healy et al. and contribution to the discussion of: ``Inference for extreme spatial temperature events in a changing climate with application to Ireland
- Inference for extreme spatial temperature events in a changing climate with application to Ireland
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