Extinction time of the logistic process

DOI10.1017/JPR.2020.112MaRDI QIDQ5152516zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Eric Foxall

Publication date 24 September 2021

Published in Journal of Applied Probability (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/1805.08339

zbMATH Keywords

diffusion approximationlarge deviationsphase transitionSIS modelstochastic logistic model

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Stochastic processes (60G99) Interacting random processes; statistical mechanics type models; percolation theory (60K35)

Abstract: The logistic birth and death process is perhaps the simplest stochastic population model that has both density-dependent reproduction, and a phase transition, and a lot can be learned about the process by studying its extinction time, $a{u}_n$, as a function of system size $n$. A number of existing results describe the scaling of $a{u}_n$ as $noinfty$, for various choices of reproductive rate $r_n$ and initial population $X_n(0)$ as a function of $n$. We collect and complete this picture, obtaining a complete classification of all sequences $(r_n)$ and $(X_n(0))$ for which there exist rescaling parameters $(s_n)$ and $(t_n)$ such that $(a{u}_n-t_n)/s_n$ converges in distribution as $noinfty$, and identifying the limits in each case.

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Cited in

(9)

• Invasion probabilities, hitting times, and some fluctuation theory for the stochastic logistic process
• Fixation time of the rock-paper-scissors model: rigorous results in the well-mixed setting
• Extinction times for a birth-death process with weak competition
• A characterisation of the reconstructed birth-death process through time rescaling
• Extinction times for certain predator–prey processes
• The branching process with logistic growth
• Cutoff for the logistic SIS epidemic model with self-infection
• Evolving genealogies in cultural evolution, the descendant process, and the number of cultural traits
• Extinction times and moment closure in the stochastic logistic process

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