Forecasting binary outcomes in soccer

DOI10.1007/S10479-021-04224-8MaRDI QIDQ6170869zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Raffaele Mattera

Publication date 13 July 2023

Published in Annals of Operations Research (Search for Journal in Brave)

Copyright license Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-021-04224-8

zbMATH Keywords

Bernoulli distributionbinary time seriesgeneralized autoregressive scoresport analyticssport statistics

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Parametric inference (62Fxx) Linear inference, regression (62Jxx) Inference from stochastic processes (62Mxx)

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Cites work

• An Econometric Analysis of Some Models for Constructed Binary Time Series
• Comparing league formats with respect to match importance in Belgian football
• Dynamic probit models and financial variables in recession forecasting
• Generalized Autoregressive Moving Average Models
• Markov Regression Models for Time Series: A Quasi-Likelihood Approach
• Measuring the efficiency of NBA teams: additive efficiency decomposition in two-stage DEA
• Observation-driven models for Poisson counts
• On binary and categorical time series models with feedback
• On the autopersistence functions and the autopersistence graphs of binary autoregressive time series
• PARX model for football match predictions
• Time Series Models Based on Generalized Linear Models: Some Further Results

Cited in

(9)

• Relative pricing of binary options in live soccer betting markets
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• Predicting the Outcomes of Annual Sporting Contests
• An extension of correspondence analysis based on the multiple Taguchi's index to evaluate the relationships between three categorical variables graphically: an application to the Italian football championship
• Data science approach to simulating the FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022 at a website in tribute to Maradona
• Kendall correlations and radar charts to include goals for and goals against in soccer rankings
• Multivariate approaches to investigate the home and away behavior of football teams playing football matches
• Generalized binomial models for analytics and decision-making: capturing feedback dependencies

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