Generating Quasi-Random Paths for Stochastic Processes

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The paper addresses the question of how to use quasi-Monte Carlo methods to improve the simulation of stochastic processes numerically. Two general procedures, viz. the generalized Brownian bridge and the particle reordering, have been developed for generating discrete sample paths associated with a stochastic process using quasi-random sequences. The main conclusions show that even for nominally high-dimensional integration problems arising from discrete stochastic methods, quasi-Monte Carlo methods can improve the computation time ranging from a factor of three (when the Brownian bridge discretization is used in conjunction with the quadratic term of a Taylor series as a control variate) to a factor of ten (comparing the Brownian bridge approach with antithetic random Monte Carlo). The best method and the degree of success depends on the nature of the integrand. The two techniques are applied to a problem from finance, viz. the valuation of a 30-year bond with monthly coupon payments assuming a mean reverting stochastic interest rate. When expressed as an integral, this problem is nominally 360 dimensional. The analysis of the integrand explains the effectiveness of the quasi-random sequences on this high-dimensional problem and suggests methods of variance reduction which can be used in conjunction with the quasi-random sequences.











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