Importance sampling. Applications in communications and detection

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This research monograph deals with fast stochastic simulation based on importance sampling (IS) principles and some of its applications. Chapter 1 introduces the concept of IS with emphasis on estimation of rare event probabilities. Different biasing methods are described in Chapter 2 and evaluated in terms of the variances of the estimates that they provide. The concept of adaptive biasing is introduced in this chapter and optimization algorithms are developed. The IS simulation problem is posed as one of variance minimization using stochastic algorithms. Chapter 3 is devoted to sums of random variables. Tail probability estimation is discussed and a method based on conditional probabilities is developed. A simulation methodology for determining a number that is exceeded by sums of random variables with a given small probability is formulated. It is referred to as the inverse IS problem and forms the basis for parameter optimization in systems to achieve specified performance levels. This has several practical applications, as demonstrated by numerical examples. In the same chapter, an approximation for tail probabilities is derived. The derivation of the Srinivasan density, an approximation for densities of sums of independent and identically distributed random variables, is given. Several simulation examples are given in these chapters to illustrate the nature of results that can be expected from well designed IS algorithms. In Chapter 4, approximations developed in Chapter 3 are used to obtain analytical expressions for false alarm and detection probabilities. The remaining chapters, 5 to 8, are on applications of the IS techniques discussed previously. Chapter 5 presents an effective solution for applying IS to constant false alarm rate detection algorithms that are used in radar and sonar receivers. It is shown how adaptive techniques can be applied to their analysis and design. Several detection situations are described and numerical results provided. Results are provided in Chapter 6 on ensemble detection, a technique that combines the outputs of several processors to achieve robustness properties. In Chapter 7, blind simulation is discussed, where the statistical distributions of the underlying processes may be unknown or partially known. It is applied to a detection algorithm to demonstrate its capabilities. Chapter 8 deals with performance evaluation of digital communication systems that cannot be handled analytically or even using standard numerical techniques. Parameter optimization is also addressed. Several examples are given that serve to illustrate how adaptive IS can be used for such systems. Some of the application examples in these last chapters are treated briefly in regard to their setting and mathematical background. This monograph is intended for researchers, analysts, designers, and advanced students, who are interested in fast simulation based on adaptive IS methods. Note that exercises are not provided in this book.




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