Influence of nonlinear incidence rates upon the behavior of SIRS epidemiological models (Q1069889)

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scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3932852
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    Influence of nonlinear incidence rates upon the behavior of SIRS epidemiological models
    scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3932852

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      Influence of nonlinear incidence rates upon the behavior of SIRS epidemiological models (English)
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      1986
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      When the traditional assumption that the incidence rate is proportional to the product of the numbers of infectives and susceptibles is dropped, the SIRS model can exhibit qualitatively different dynamical behaviors, including Hopf bifurcations, saddle-node bifurcations, and homoclinic loop bifurcations. These may be important epidemiologically in that they demonstrate the possibility of infection outbreak and collapse, or autonomous periodic coexistence of disease and host. The possible mechanisms leading to nonlinear incidence rates are discussed. Finally, a modified general criterion for supercritical or subcritical Hopf bifurcation of 2- dimensional systems is presented.
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      epidemiology
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      periodicities
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      infectious diseases
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      SIRS model
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      Hopf bifurcations
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      saddle-node bifurcations
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      homoclinic loop bifurcations
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      nonlinear incidence rates
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