Adaptive prediction by least squares predictors in stochastic regression models with applications to time series (Q1102060)

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scientific article; zbMATH DE number 4048893
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    Adaptive prediction by least squares predictors in stochastic regression models with applications to time series
    scientific article; zbMATH DE number 4048893

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      Adaptive prediction by least squares predictors in stochastic regression models with applications to time series (English)
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      1987
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      The asymptotic performance of the least squares predictors \(\hat y_ n\) of the stochastic regression model \(y_ n=\beta_ 1x_{n1}+...+\beta_ px_{np}+\epsilon_ n\) is considered. In particular, the accumulated cost function \(\sum^{n}_{k=1}(y_ k-\hat y_ k-\epsilon_ k)^ 2\) is studied. The results are then applied to nonstationary autoregressive time series. A statistic is also constructed to show how many times one should difference a nonstationary time series in order to obtain a stationary series.
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      adaptive prediction
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      martingale difference sequence
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      least squares predictors
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      stochastic regression model
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      accumulated cost function
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      nonstationary autoregressive time series
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