Stability of cycles and expectations (Q1111912)

The actual dynamics of an economy depends on how agents forecast the future at every date as a function of their information on the past, while possibly learning the structure of their environment. We show in the case of a one-dimensional state variable that under mild conditions on expectations functions, a given cycle with perfect foresight that is stable in the actual dynamics is stable in a fictitious backward perfect foresight dynamics. We exhibit a restricted class of expectations functions for which the converse is true.