An epidemic model with fatal risk (Q1314220)
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English | An epidemic model with fatal risk |
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An epidemic model with fatal risk (English)
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22 February 1994
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The authors derive from first principles an SIR model in which the class \(R\) of ``recovered'' individuals is subdivided into two classes, those infected who survive and become immune and those who die. Both the deterministic and stochastic models are analyzed and shown to exhibit a threshold phenomenon. Both models also predict the intuitive result that a higher probability of death due to the disease (as opposed to survival and immunity) results in a damaging epidemic.
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deterministic model
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SIR model
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stochastic models
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threshold phenomenon
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probability of death
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survival
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immunity
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damaging epidemic
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